by Flemming Funch
Friday I went to a monthly meeting of an L.A. Futurists group, lead by John Smart of Singularity Watch. Very enjoyable and interesting people. It didn't quite dawn on me before afterwards what the talk about Singularity is about. It is sort of a concept of technological ascension, where a bunch of rapidly moving trends come together into a quantum evolutionary leap for humanity. It makes sense to extropians, of which I'm sure there are a bunch in NCN as well. Extropians are a bit hard to describe, but it is a sub-culture of technologically oriented people who stereotypically believe in a peculiar mix of things such as cryogenic life extension, artificial intelligence, genetic augmentation of the human body, optimistic materialism, etc. I used to hang out in extropian discussion groups for a while, but I can't entirely connect with the mindset.
Anyway, at the meeting a fellow was reviewing the book "Jihad vs. McWorld", which was rather interesting. McWorld is essentially globalization, as governed by multi-national companies. Sort of a simplified americanized consumer culture, destined for filling the world up with 7-11 and PizzaHut and Hollywood movies. Jihad on the other hand is a stereotype for the reactionary, isolationist, tribal, fundamentalist movements. They're essentially at war, because McWorld wants every part of the world to have the same products and way of life, and Jihad will try to protect the traditional local way of life at any cost. Lots of interesting observations.
Then there was a speech by Max More from ManyWorlds, Inc. about scenario planning. Scenario planning is an effective method of preparing for the future. Instead of trying to forecast exactly where the current trends lead, one rather starts out with 3 or 4 different future scenarios that potentially might happen, and then one works backwards and tries to be prepared as much as possible for any of them. So, one plays with several possible alternate scenarios and tries to learn from them, and one becomes prepared for any of them.
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